Week 30 (Sept. 29 - Oct. 6) / by Drew Olsen

Home Away hwin awin tie spread
PHI CHI 0.591 0.156 0.253 0.87
DCU SKC 0.307 0.398 0.295 -0.18
NYRB HOU 0.532 0.216 0.252 0.62
VAN FCD 0.459 0.250 0.291 0.33
NE CLB 0.433 0.214 0.354 0.32
LA TOR 0.612 0.149 0.239 0.92
SJ POR 0.436 0.221 0.342 0.38
COL SEA 0.397 0.307 0.296 0.13
CHI MTL 0.477 0.219 0.304 0.50
CHV RSL 0.270 0.458 0.272 -0.33

Notes

*Two away teams have the upper hand this week in Sporting KC and RSL. 

*The model is not convinced that Colorado is dead. The fact that the Rapids have the most underperforming underperformer by goals scored versus expected goals is just one indication that positive regression is likely.