Playoff Probabilities 2017

Updated 10/19/2017

Based on the season thus far we ran 10,000 simulations of the remaining season. The results are reflected below. Click here for a more detailed explanation.

Conf RankTeamAvePtsPlayoff OddsShield OddsMaxPts*MinPts*
E 1Toronto69100%1007168
E 2New York City FC58100%05956
E 3Chicago56100%05855
E 4Atlanta United55100%05754
E 5Columbus54100%05653
W 1Vancouver53100%05552
W 2Portland52100%05350
W 3Seattle52100%05350
W 4Kansas City50100%05249
W 5Houston49100%05047
E 6New York48100%05047
W 6FC Dallas4554%04643
W 7San Jose4540%04643
W 8Salt Lake436%04542
E 7New England430%04542
E 8Montreal410%04239
E 9Philadelphia410%04239
E10Orlando City400%04239
W 9Minnesota United370%03936
W10Colorado340%03633
E11DC United330%03532
W11L.A. Galaxy320%03532

*Max and Min points represent the range within which a team finished in 95% of simulations.