Seeding Probabilities 2017

Last Updated 10/19/2017

Based on the season thus far we ran 10,000 simulations of the remaining season. The results are reflected below. Click here for a more detailed explanation.

Eastern ConferencePlayoff Seed ProbabilityOut
Team1234567+
Toronto100%000000
New York City FC075%15%8%2%00
Chicago012%43%39%6%00
Atlanta United010%35%44%10%00
Columbus03%7%9%82%00
New York00000100%0
New England000000100%
Montreal000000100%
Philadelphia000000100%
Orlando City000000100%
DC United000000100%

Western ConferencePlayoff Seed ProbabilityOut
Team1234567+
Vancouver31%23%38%7%000
Portland40%25%19%14%2%00
Seattle28%44%17%10%1%00
Kansas City07%23%46%24%00
Houston00%4%24%72%00
FC Dallas0000054%46%
San Jose0000040%60%
Salt Lake000006%94%
Minnesota United000000100%
Colorado000000100%
L.A. Galaxy000000100%