Seeding Probabilities

Updated 10/21/2016

Based on the season thus far we ran 10,000 simulations of the remaining season. Click here for a more detailed explanation. Below is how each MLS team finished.

Eastern ConferencePlayoff SeedOut
Team1234567+
New York Red Bulls0.970.0300000
New York City FC0.030.6460.3240000
Toronto00.3240.6760000
DC United0000.7810.21900
Montreal0000.2190.6390.1430
Philadelphia00000.1430.8470.01
New England000000.010.99
Orlando City0000001
Columbus0000001
Chicago0000001

Western ConferencePlayoff SeedOut
Team1234567+
FC Dallas0.6430.35700000
Colorado0.3570.64300000
L.A. Galaxy001.000 0000
Seattle0000.4890.1450.2590.107
Salt Lake0000.4240.2510.2540.071
Kansas City0000.0540.3830.2770.286
Portland0000.0340.2210.210.536
San Jose0000001
Vancouver0000001
Houston0000001