2018 GAME-BY-GAME EXPECTED GOALS

Last Updated 6/22/2018

Note: Does not include own-goals. Dates in UTC. 

HG: Home Goals, HxGt: Home Expected Goals based on our team xG model, HxGp:, Home Expected Goals based on our player xG model, AG: Away Goals, AxGt: Away Expected Goals based on our team xG model, AxGp: Away Expected Goals based on our player xG model, xGDt: Expected Goal Differential based on our team xG model, xGDp: Expected Goal Differential based on our player xG model.

The difference between the models is that our player xG model was built to measure the players' production and the team xG model was built to measure a team's quality. In effect, there are only two differences:

  1. Penalty kicks are worth less in the team model. Because earning a PK is a relatively lucky occurrence that isn't necessarily indicative of a quality chance, they're valued at only about 0.248 xG for teams, but because a shooter scores them about 79% of the time, they're worth 0.785 xG for players.
  2. Sequential shots get their value diminished slightly in the team model. If a team has a shot worth 0.8 xG that is deflected out for another shot worth 0.8 xG, the team will get credit for 1.0 xG, not 1.8 xG (our exhaustive research shows only one goal can be scored per sequence). In the player model the full 0.8 xG is credited to both shooters.

So if you're looking to see which team created the better chances, then the xGt is probably more relevant. If you want to know which team had the better chances, then xGp is more useful. Here's Drew's much longer post about the differences.

For more on what Expected Goals (xG) means, read our explanation.

DateHomeHGHxGtHxGpAwayAGAxGtAxGpGDxGDtxGDp
06/14/2018Columbus01.461.46Atlanta United20.530.53-20.930.93
06/14/2018Colorado21.321.32Chicago10.900.9000.420.42
06/14/2018Montreal22.132.66Orlando City02.052.1130.080.56
06/14/2018New York23.283.38Seattle10.800.8112.482.57
06/14/2018San Jose21.921.94New England21.561.5600.360.38
06/14/2018Toronto42.442.45DC United42.042.0400.390.41
06/10/2018Chicago10.730.73New England11.551.550-0.82-0.82
06/10/2018FC Dallas11.752.30Montreal01.371.3920.370.91
06/10/2018Houston21.632.20Colorado00.070.0721.562.13
06/10/2018L.A. Galaxy31.941.98Salt Lake00.910.9131.031.07
06/10/2018Portland00.990.99Kansas City00.780.7800.210.21
06/10/2018Seattle21.451.47DC United11.842.051-0.39-0.58
06/10/2018San Jose31.081.08Los Angeles FC42.322.32-1-1.24-1.24
06/10/2018Vancouver53.243.87Orlando City21.291.2931.942.58
06/09/2018Columbus12.202.20New York10.870.8801.331.32
06/09/2018New York City FC12.582.60Atlanta United10.290.2902.292.31
06/09/2018Philadelphia01.881.88Toronto21.561.56-20.320.32
06/04/2018Kansas City42.562.58Minnesota United10.460.4632.102.12
06/03/2018Atlanta United33.754.91Philadelphia10.350.3523.414.57
06/03/2018Chicago22.132.23San Jose11.961.9610.170.26
06/03/2018Columbus31.441.98Toronto31.131.6700.310.32
06/03/2018FC Dallas22.212.24Los Angeles FC11.031.0311.171.21
06/03/2018Montreal10.600.61Houston00.420.4210.170.18
06/03/2018New England21.201.20New York10.440.4410.750.75
06/03/2018New York City FC32.082.23Orlando City00.671.2031.411.03
06/03/2018Salt Lake21.591.63Seattle00.660.6620.930.97
06/02/2018Colorado12.012.01Vancouver21.221.22-10.790.79
06/02/2018Portland11.361.90L.A. Galaxy11.491.510-0.130.39
05/31/2018L.A. Galaxy22.372.39FC Dallas31.701.77-10.670.62
05/31/2018New England10.681.22Atlanta United11.921.920-1.24-0.70
05/31/2018Philadelphia32.342.89Chicago11.671.6720.661.22
05/31/2018Salt Lake21.011.01Houston11.461.541-0.45-0.53
05/27/2018Colorado11.512.04Portland31.311.31-10.200.74
05/27/2018Los Angeles FC11.841.86DC United11.481.4900.360.37
05/27/2018Minnesota United20.930.95Montreal00.900.9020.030.05
05/27/2018New York00.770.77Philadelphia01.522.060-0.75-1.28
05/27/2018Orlando City12.272.27Chicago20.750.76-11.521.51
05/27/2018Kansas City01.021.03Columbus01.001.5400.02-0.51
05/26/2018Houston32.752.89New York City FC11.221.2221.531.67
05/26/2018L.A. Galaxy10.870.87San Jose00.530.5310.340.33
05/26/2018Seattle01.341.41Salt Lake10.350.35-10.991.06
05/26/2018Toronto02.313.05FC Dallas11.561.59-10.751.46
05/26/2018Vancouver33.743.84New England21.141.1502.602.70
05/21/2018Atlanta United11.211.21New York31.451.99-2-0.24-0.78
05/21/2018Montreal01.471.47L.A. Galaxy10.700.70-10.770.77
05/20/2018Chicago21.631.63Houston31.672.20-1-0.04-0.58
05/20/2018Minnesota United11.141.27Kansas City11.781.780-0.65-0.51
05/20/2018New England00.900.90Columbus12.022.11-1-1.12-1.21
05/20/2018Philadelphia42.142.15Salt Lake10.590.6031.541.56
05/20/2018San Jose11.761.77DC United31.761.76-2-0.000.01
05/19/2018FC Dallas21.621.63Vancouver10.681.2200.940.41
05/19/2018New York City FC41.161.17Colorado00.350.3540.820.82
05/19/2018Portland22.943.12Los Angeles FC10.961.0011.982.11
05/19/2018Toronto21.962.02Orlando City10.700.7011.261.32
05/17/2018Vancouver22.442.46San Jose21.061.0801.371.38
05/14/2018Los Angeles FC11.461.46New York City FC21.862.420-0.39-0.95
05/13/2018Columbus32.092.63Chicago01.021.0231.071.62
05/13/2018Colorado11.361.41New York22.002.00-1-0.64-0.59
05/13/2018New England31.481.49Toronto11.782.321-0.30-0.83
05/13/2018Orlando City10.650.66Atlanta United21.341.88-1-0.69-1.22
05/13/2018Portland11.091.09Seattle00.480.4910.610.60
05/13/2018Salt Lake31.361.36DC United21.851.861-0.49-0.50
05/12/2018FC Dallas30.850.85L.A. Galaxy23.153.151-2.31-2.31
05/12/2018Minnesota United10.970.97San Jose31.682.76-2-0.71-1.79
05/12/2018Montreal00.830.83Philadelphia21.881.88-2-1.05-1.05
05/12/2018Vancouver22.282.28Houston20.510.5101.771.76
05/10/2018Atlanta United02.462.48Kansas City21.571.57-20.890.90
05/10/2018Chicago11.151.15Montreal00.850.8610.290.29
05/10/2018Columbus11.641.67Philadelphia00.630.6311.021.04
05/10/2018Los Angeles FC23.193.24Minnesota United00.630.6322.572.62
05/10/2018Toronto12.792.80Seattle21.221.23-11.571.57
05/06/2018Chicago11.011.01Atlanta United21.661.66-1-0.65-0.65
05/06/2018Houston32.522.87L.A. Galaxy22.422.5910.100.28
05/06/2018Orlando City32.152.16Salt Lake11.231.2320.920.93
05/06/2018San Jose01.681.72Portland11.021.02-10.660.70
05/06/2018Kansas City12.963.59Colorado00.530.5312.433.06
05/05/2018Los Angeles FC11.401.42FC Dallas10.770.7700.630.65
05/05/2018Minnesota United10.901.00Vancouver01.741.741-0.84-0.74
05/05/2018Montreal42.902.95New England21.681.6921.221.26
05/05/2018New York41.791.83New York City FC00.850.8640.940.97
05/05/2018Seattle01.231.23Columbus00.760.7600.470.47
05/05/2018Toronto31.451.45Philadelphia00.330.3331.121.12
04/30/2018Los Angeles FC12.092.09Seattle01.381.4010.710.70
04/29/2018Columbus22.002.10San Jose10.860.8611.141.24
04/29/2018Colorado11.341.36Orlando City21.121.66-10.22-0.30
04/29/2018L.A. Galaxy21.041.04New York32.222.75-1-1.18-1.71
04/29/2018Minnesota United21.011.54Houston12.352.351-1.35-0.81
04/29/2018New England10.800.80Kansas City00.750.7510.050.05
04/29/2018New York City FC32.543.24FC Dallas11.081.0821.472.17
04/28/2018Atlanta United42.092.68Montreal10.630.6331.462.05
04/28/2018Philadelphia31.541.54DC United20.620.6210.920.93
04/28/2018Toronto21.601.60Chicago22.503.310-0.90-1.70
04/28/2018Vancouver22.192.75Salt Lake00.991.0021.201.76
04/22/2018Columbus12.102.19New England20.920.9201.181.27
04/22/2018FC Dallas22.282.82Philadelphia01.281.3221.001.49
04/22/2018L.A. Galaxy00.870.87Atlanta United23.474.79-2-2.60-3.91
04/22/2018Orlando City32.342.88San Jose21.801.8710.541.00
04/22/2018Portland31.911.94New York City FC00.690.6931.221.25
04/22/2018Salt Lake32.312.85Colorado00.800.8031.512.05
04/22/2018Seattle31.921.92Minnesota United11.391.3920.520.52
04/21/2018Houston53.293.40Toronto12.773.3440.520.06
04/21/2018Montreal31.171.70Los Angeles FC43.074.32-2-1.91-2.62
04/21/2018New York12.312.37Chicago20.511.05-11.801.32
04/21/2018Kansas City63.934.54Vancouver00.450.4563.484.09
04/15/2018Atlanta United21.391.41New York City FC20.761.2900.630.12
04/15/2018DC United10.390.39Columbus02.112.151-1.73-1.77
04/15/2018New England01.851.87FC Dallas11.711.71-10.140.17
04/15/2018Portland31.701.74Minnesota United11.851.851-0.16-0.11
04/15/2018San Jose20.470.47Houston23.143.140-2.67-2.67
04/15/2018Kansas City21.722.26Seattle21.671.6700.060.59
04/14/2018Chicago00.470.47L.A. Galaxy10.760.76-1-0.29-0.29
04/14/2018Colorado21.421.96Toronto01.201.2120.220.75
04/14/2018New York32.112.12Montreal10.770.8121.331.31
04/14/2018Philadelphia01.591.62Orlando City21.301.30-20.290.32
04/14/2018Vancouver00.310.31Los Angeles FC21.741.85-2-1.43-1.54
04/12/2018New York City FC43.464.09Salt Lake01.231.2342.242.86
04/09/2018L.A. Galaxy01.881.88Kansas City20.940.94-20.940.94
04/08/2018Chicago10.510.51Columbus01.781.781-1.27-1.28
04/08/2018FC Dallas11.471.53Colorado10.660.6600.820.87
04/08/2018Orlando City32.152.71Portland21.792.3910.360.32
04/08/2018Philadelphia12.252.25San Jose10.830.8301.421.42
04/08/2018Salt Lake21.131.13Vancouver11.481.481-0.35-0.35
04/07/2018Atlanta United51.592.66Los Angeles FC01.171.1850.421.48
04/07/2018New England42.933.47Montreal00.160.1642.773.31
04/01/2018Colorado31.491.53Philadelphia01.201.2130.290.33
04/01/2018Houston01.601.60New England21.541.54-20.050.05
04/01/2018Minnesota United02.062.06Atlanta United00.870.87-11.191.19
04/01/2018Seattle01.051.05Montreal10.760.76-10.300.30
04/01/2018San Jose11.451.45New York City FC20.830.83-10.620.62
04/01/2018Kansas City11.901.92DC United01.241.2510.660.67
03/31/2018Chicago21.341.34Portland20.910.9700.430.37
03/31/2018Columbus11.081.09Vancouver20.460.46-10.620.63
03/31/2018L.A. Galaxy41.091.09Los Angeles FC21.031.0310.060.06
03/31/2018Orlando City42.752.76New York31.421.4211.331.34
03/31/2018Toronto32.643.73Salt Lake10.560.5622.073.17
03/25/2018Colorado21.181.19Kansas City22.742.780-1.56-1.58
03/25/2018Vancouver00.630.63L.A. Galaxy00.600.6000.030.03
03/24/2018Columbus31.721.72DC United10.260.2621.451.45
03/24/2018FC Dallas11.111.12Portland10.630.6300.480.49
03/24/2018New England21.591.59New York City FC20.930.9300.660.66
03/24/2018New York33.153.15Minnesota United01.201.2331.951.92
03/18/2018FC Dallas32.702.72Seattle01.001.0231.701.70
03/18/2018Salt Lake10.511.04New York00.820.841-0.320.20
03/18/2018Kansas City31.251.78San Jose21.501.611-0.260.17
03/17/2018Atlanta United32.553.13Vancouver10.720.7231.832.41
03/17/2018DC United21.411.43Houston21.691.690-0.28-0.27
03/17/2018Minnesota United21.922.23Chicago10.951.0110.971.22
03/17/2018Montreal11.321.33Toronto01.111.1110.220.22
03/17/2018New York City FC20.860.86Orlando City00.790.7920.070.07
03/17/2018Philadelphia00.630.63Columbus00.760.760-0.13-0.13
03/11/2018Atlanta United31.611.61DC United11.261.2620.350.35
03/11/2018New York City FC21.611.67L.A. Galaxy11.471.4710.140.20
03/11/2018New York42.482.49Portland01.201.2041.281.29
03/11/2018Orlando City11.321.86Minnesota United21.151.15-10.180.72
03/10/2018Chicago33.203.26Kansas City41.541.58-11.661.68
03/10/2018Columbus31.902.98Montreal21.691.6910.221.30
03/10/2018Houston12.072.07Vancouver20.681.24-11.390.83
03/10/2018New England21.151.15Colorado11.522.131-0.37-0.99
03/10/2018Salt Lake11.732.34Los Angeles FC53.793.86-4-2.06-1.52
03/05/2018L.A. Galaxy22.722.96Portland11.491.4911.231.47
03/05/2018Kansas City01.531.53New York City FC21.391.40-20.140.14
03/04/2018FC Dallas01.311.35Salt Lake10.620.6200.690.72
03/04/2018Orlando City11.271.27DC United11.632.330-0.36-1.06
03/04/2018Philadelphia23.463.49New England00.740.7622.712.73
03/04/2018Seattle02.352.52Los Angeles FC10.480.48-11.882.05
03/04/2018San Jose32.052.08Minnesota United21.101.1110.950.97
03/04/2018Vancouver21.251.25Montreal10.560.5610.700.70
03/03/2018Houston42.152.15Atlanta United01.201.7440.950.42
03/03/2018Toronto01.351.37Columbus21.311.31-20.040.06