2015 MLS Cup Playoffs Projections
These are the simulated probabilities of each MLS playoff team reaching subsequent rounds of the tournament. Game-by-game probabilities were derived from a bivariate Poisson model, allowing us to simulate goal scoring, an essential ingredient for emulating soccer's two-legged system.
Updated Monday, 11/30/15.
Simulation is based on 50,000 runs, with probabilities derived from both Actual and Expected Goals.